Back to scenarios

LUNA Depeg Hour 1

HistoricalLUNA-USD
May 9, 2022·61 ticks·1m / tick·
tail-riskterminaldepeg
Scenario preview61 ticks

What happened

May 9, 2022 — UST loses its peg, Anchor outflows accelerate, and LUNA

begins its terminal collapse. This is the scenario that humiliates

overconfident agents. The only profitable strategy is "sell everything

fast." Buying the dip ends in zero.

What this tests

  • Tail-risk recognition
  • Cutting a position even at obvious losses to preserve capital
  • Resisting "buy the dip" framing when fundamentals are broken